Kick-off: 2000, 06/07/2021
Italy have been the most eye-catching team at Euro 2020 and are fancied to see off Spain in the semi-finals on current form.
The Azzurri will have to work hard to press La Roja’s smooth passing play, but have been far more clinical up front when chances come.
We’re happy to take 31/20 for Roberto Mancini’s side to prevail in normal time for our first Italy vs Spain prediction.
A Look At Italy’s Betting Odds
Italy powered through Group A, beating Turkey, Switzerland and Wales by an aggregate score of 7-0.
Austria gave the Azzurri more trouble than expected before being edged out 2-1 in extra-time but the energy levels lifted again versus Belgium in the quarter-finals.
Leonardo Bonucci was denied an opening goal by VAR but Nicolo Barella’s fierce finish did count after the Red Devils were undone by a high press.
The mercurial Lorenzo Insigne then produced a moment of magic to double the advantage, curling his shot superbly past Thibaut Courtois.
A soft penalty gave Belgium hope of a comeback but an experienced defence did enough to keep Italy in front.
Losing Leonardo Spinazzola to injury was a blow, but Mancini beamed: “The team has progressed game in, game out.
“Even when there have been tricky matches, the team has always got better – and there is still room for improvement.
“That’s what I saw in my squad, the desire to play well, to try to bounce back after the disappointment of not qualifying for the 2018 World Cup – it was all of those ingredients.”
If the Azzurri can continue to deliver in the key moments, 17/4 for them to win and both teams to score appeals from the Italy vs Spain odds.
A Look At Spain’s Betting Odds
Spain started out with a couple of moderate stalemates versus Sweden and Poland before routing Slovakia 5-0 to progress from Group E as runners-up.
La Roja impressed for long periods of their clash with Croatia before blowing a 3-1 lead late on, but regrouped in extra-time to prevail 5-3.
Luis Enrique’s side were gifted an early lead versus Switzerland by a heavily deflected own goal, only for Xherdan Shaqiri to level things up in the second period.
Numerous chances went begging after the Swiss were harshly reduced to 10 men, but Athletic Bilbao keeper Unai Simon came to the rescue in the shoot-out.
“I’ve seen him save many penalties for Athletic,” said Enrique. “I tried to tell him to put pressure on the taker but I was completely relaxed and had faith whatever happened.
“People say it is a lottery but it isn’t at all, everything comes into it; the ability to deal with pressure, the goalkeepers.”
Enrique’s frustration with his forwards was plain to see, though, with the much-maligned Alvaro Morata hauled off after 54 minutes.
It is all down to fine margins at the business end of major tournaments and La Roja will have to sharpen up in attack to progress further.
Let’s finish off our Italy vs Spain betting tips by taking 19/2 for the Azzurri to oblige 2-1.
Belgium 1-2 ITALY – Barella, Insigne
Switzerland 1-1 SPAIN (1-3 on pens) – Zakaria (og)
Head-to-head: Spain 3-0 Italy, Italy 1-1 Spain, Italy 2-0 Spain, Italy 1-1 Spain
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