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Italy vs England: Home advantage to spur Three Lions on

Kick-off: 2000, 11/07/2021

Stadium: Wembley


Italy and England have been the best two teams at Euro 2020 overall and a tight tussle is on the cards in the final in London on Sunday.

Both sides are strong at the back, have great energy in midfield and proven performers up front but home advantage may just be the deciding factor.

After watching the wild scenes at Wembley for their semi-final success, we’re taking 5/6 for the Three Lions to lift the trophy for our first Italy vs England prediction.

A Look At Italy’s Betting Odds

Italy built up a ton of momentum after three group-stage wins made it 11 consecutive clean-sheet victories but have not been as convincing in the knockout rounds.

The Azzurri needed extra time to beat Austria 2-1 and had to survive lots of late pressure when seeing off Belgium by the same scoreline.

Roberto Mancini’s men then had just 30 per cent of the possession when drawing 1-1 with Spain, prior to prevailing on penalties.

“We knew it was going to be a very tough match because, in terms of ball possession, Spain are the best around,” commented Mancini.

“They caused us problems. We had to dig in when we needed to. We tried to score or create opportunities when we could.

“However, we wanted to make it into the final and we kept trying right until the end.”

Federico Chiesa has popped up with a couple of key goals in the last three matches while playmaker Lorenzo Insigne and leading marksman Ciro Immobile are always dangerous.

Giant goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma, veteran centre-back pairing Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci, plus midfield anchor Jorginho are other key figures.

It is hard to ignore the Azzurri’s 33-match unbeaten run and 2/1 for this tie to go to extra time stands out from the Italy vs England odds.

A Look At England’s Betting Odds

England’s performances during the pool stage were less eye-catching but a 2-0 triumph over Germany and a 4-0 rout of Ukraine sent their confidence levels sky high.

It took a wonder-strike from Mikkel Damsgaard’s long-range free-kick to see Jordan Pickford concede for the first time in the tournament as Denmark went ahead in the semis.

However, the Three Lions quickly regrouped and Raheem Sterling went close before pressuring Simon Kjaer into an own goal.

There was a hint of good fortune about the extra-time decider following a soft penalty decision, with Harry Kane pouncing on the rebound after his spot-kick was saved.

That just backed up the growing belief that England are fated to claim a first major trophy since the 1966 World Cup, though.

“They’ve responded to what was always going to be a really challenging night,” Gareth Southgate said of his players.

“We were so smooth through the quarter-final and relatively unscathed through the second round but we knew that at some point we were going to concede and we would have to respond.

“But I think on the balance of play, when you look at the number of saves we forced the goalkeeper to make and long periods of the game where I felt we were the biggest threat, I think we deserved it.”

On the incredible atmosphere, Southgate added: “I’ve not heard this new Wembley like that ever and to be able to share that with everybody and share it with everybody at home is very special.”

The Three Lions are 10/1 to come out on top in extra time again here and their youthful exuberance makes that worth adding to our Italy vs England betting tips.

We also like 28/1 for the increasingly influential Sterling to score first in a 1-1 draw in normal time.

Additional stats

Last result:

ITALY 1-1 Spain (4-2 on pens) – Chiesa

ENGLAND 2-1 Denmark (AET) – Kjaer (og), Kane

Head-to-head: England 1-1 Italy, Italy 1-1 England, England 1-2 Italy, England 2-1 Italy, England 0-0 Italy

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